The pundits said Trump wouldn’t run. Then, they claimed he wouldn’t win the GOP nomination. Then, they said he would lose to Hillary Clinton in the general election, likely by a landslide.
One of the best articles of the year came from Politico’s Edward Isaac-Dovere in a piece called ‘None of us knows what is going to happen,’ written on Inauguration Day. He wrote:
“A billion-dollar bank account. Twitter. No set allegiance to party or ideology. The acumen of a developer and reality show star. Warm feelings about Vladimir Putin. Support from a populist movement unlike anything in American history. The factors that make this new presidency unlike any other are endless.
There’s no model, no guide, but every reason to think that the candidate who was powered by disgust at the status quo will be the president who blows the status quo to pieces in way people can’t yet start to comprehend.”
This was an excellent assessment. No one knew what would happen in Year One of President Trump’s presidency. Yet, it didn’t stop anti-Trump critics from making outlandish predictions. Here are my top 20 anti-Trump predictions, starting with the most ridiculous.
1. Trump will get us into nuclear war and cause a nuclear holocaust
In July 2016, Art of the Deal co-author Tony Schwartz claimed: “I genuinely believe that if Trump wins and gets the nuclear codes there is an excellent possibility it will lead to the end of civilization.” In December 2016, Matt Novak of the garbage news website Gizmodo predicted we’re all going to die in an article with the headline ‘Trump Just Called for a New Nuclear Arms Race and We’re All Going to Die.’ In August 2017, Mark Steel of The Independent wrote a column titled ‘We’re all about to die in a third world war caused by Donald Trump and Kim Jong-un – but at least it has comedy value.’
Also, Eminem rapped “What we got in office now’s a kamikaze/That’ll prolly cause a nuclear holocaust/And while the drama pops/And he waits for shit to quiet down/He’ll just gas his plane up and fly around ‘til the bombing stops.”
Well, it’s been a year. Are we still alive? Is the sky falling? Has Trump launched any nukes? Are we in World War III?
2. Trump will resign or be impeached by the end of 2017
In two ridiculous tweets, Tony Schwartz claimed in August 2017 that President Trump would resign by the end of 2017.
The circle is closing at blinding speed. Trump is going to resign and declare victory before Mueller and congress leave him no choice.
— Tony Schwartz (@tonyschwartz) August 16, 2017
Trump’s presidency is effectively over. Would be amazed if he survives till end of the year. More likely resigns by fall, if not sooner.
— Tony Schwartz (@tonyschwartz) August 16, 2017
Boston University Professor Andrew J. Bacevich predicted: “Before his enemies close in for the kill, he will leave the field.”
Florida Atlantic University Professor Ronald Feinman predicted that Trump wouldn’t last past the “199 days of James A. Garfield in 1881.” He said that he would either resign or be impeached.
New York Times fake conservative columnist David Brooks predicted that he “will probably resign or be impeached within a year.”
A lot of people gambled that Trump would be impeached in 2017. On prediction trading site PredictIt, 21 percent of bettors think Trump will not be president at the end of 2017 and 18 percent think Trump will be impeached in 2017. At one point gambling website Paddy Power was giving 3-1 odds of Trump being impeached in 2017.
For POTUS to be impeached and removed from office, you need evidence of “high crimes and misdemeanors,” a majority vote by the House of Representatives and a 2/3rds majority of the Senate. Since Republicans control both chambers, a lot of federally elected Republicans would have to vote to impeach him.
Right now, zero Republicans and only a few Democrats support it. In the first year, a few ambitious backbenchers such as Maxine Waters, Al Green, and Ted Lieu have called on him to be impeached. They did it primarily to get more TV hits, Twitter followers, Facebook likes, and book sales.
In December 2017, the House voted against Al Green’s impeachment motion 364-58. That means only 13 percent of Congress and 30 percent of House Democrats voted for it.
3. Trump will become dictator
Fake conservative and former third-party presidential candidate Evan McMullin tweets almost every day that Trump is trying to become a dictator. In October 2016, he declared “I know dictators and authoritarians when I see them, and Donald Trump is one of them.” He tweets so much nonsense that I couldn’t refute every single tweet in this article.
Skyler-Baker Jordan of The Independent wrote an article titled “Trump used to celebrate dictators – now he’s becoming one. She argued that Trump is becoming a dictator because he fired FBI Director James Comey to stop the investigation into him. Of course, firing an FBI director wouldn’t stop an investigation, and POTUS had every legal right to terminate him for literally any reason.
HBO’s Bill Maher once claimed Trump “totally wants to be a dictator. It’s so obvious.”
Some people have compared Trump to Hitler. Most notably, Barack Obama said: “You have to tend to this garden of democracy—otherwise, things can fall apart fairly quickly. And we’ve seen societies where that happens. Now, presume there was a ballroom here in Vienna in the late 1920s or ’30s that looked pretty sophisticated and seemed as if it, filled with the music and art and literature and science that was emerging, would continue into perpetuity.”
It was a pretty weak argument by Obama. After being elected, Hitler quickly canceled elections, banned dissent, and took control of the media.
New York Times columnist Charles Blow argued that Trump is literally Hitler because he lies a lot. Of course, almost every president and politician lies to some extent, so his argument holds no water.
Generally, a lot of pundits label Trump as authoritarian anytime he’s mean to the media. A real dictator jails journalists without due process, censors the press, and bans news organizations who are critical of the regime. Trump has done none of those things. He hasn’t even sued any news organizations.
Some pundits also compare Trump to Hitler when it came to the proposed Muslim ban, which was never a serious proposal. Instead, he banned travel to a few Muslim-majority countries with a lot of terrorism, which accounts for less than 20 percent of the global Muslim population. A real Hitler-like figure would’ve banned 100 percent of Muslims in the world and send current American-Muslims to death camps.
Some pundits also criticized Trump for criticizing a judge for ruling against his Travel Ban. A real dictator would remove the judge and jail him without due process.
I could go on-and-on about this.
4. The Stock Market will crash and economy will sink into recession
A lot of prominent people made this prediction.
Nobel-winning economist and left-wing New York Times columnist Paul Krugman predicted the stock market would crash and never recover. He also claimed, “we are very probably looking at a global recession, with no end in sight.”
Former Clinton and Obama chief economist Larry Summers predicted “Under Trump, I would expect a protracted recession to begin within 18 months. The damage would be felt far beyond the United States.”
MIT Economics Professor Simon Johnson predicted: “Trump would likely cause the stock market to crash and plunge the world into recession.”
Finance advisor Steve Rattner predicted: “If the likely event happens and Trump wins you will see a market crash of historic proportions, I think … The markets are terrified of him.”
Filmmaker Michael Moore claimed Trump would win and therefore “I advise people not to invest in the stock market, not now. Way too dangerous.”
Politico’s Ben White claimed: “Wall Street is set up for a major crash if Donald Trump shocks the world on Election Day and wins the White House. New research out on Friday suggests that financial markets strongly prefer a Hillary Clinton presidency and could react with panicked selling should Trump defy the polls and deliver a shocking upset on Nov. 8.”
The Washington Post Editorial Board published an article with the headline “APresident Trump Could Destroy the World Economy.”
The exact opposite has occurred. Since the day Trump was elected, the Dow Jones industrial average has risen by 35 percent and ended on a record high over 50 times. Some $6 trillion of wealth has been created. The GDP of the last quarter was over 3 percent.
This article was originally published on Politicus Dominum’s Genius Trump blog.