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Bitcoin falls from peak, doubts linger over U.S. ETF boost

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October 21, 2021

By John McCrank and Tom Wilson

NEW YORK/LONDON (Reuters) – Bitcoin on Thursday pulled back from its all-time high struck a day earlier after the debut of the first U.S. bitcoin futures exchange-traded fund, though with more such ETFs set to launch, analysts questioned the impact on cryptocurrency investment flows.

The world’s largest cryptocurrency was down 3.02% at $64,000, at 10:45 a.m. Eastern time, after hitting a record $67,016 on Wednesday.

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Bitcoin’s rally – six-months after its previous top of $64,895 – was fueled by the launch of the ProShares Bitcoin Strategy ETF.

More futures-based bitcoin ETFs are close to launching, with The Valkyrie Bitcoin Strategy ETF set to begin trading on Friday on the Nasdaq under the ticker BTF, Nasdaq and Valkyrie confirmed. The VanEck Bitcoin Strategy ETF was expected to begin trading next week on Cboe under the ticker XBTF, Cboe said.

Investors have bet the long-awaited launch of bitcoin ETFs will lead to greater investment from both retail and institutional investors.

Yet some analysts at major banks voiced doubt over how long-lasting the boost to bitcoin’s price from the ProShares ETF, which trades under the ticker BITO, would be.

“Will the launch of BITO by itself bring significantly more fresh capital into bitcoin? We doubt it given the multitude of investment choices bitcoin investors already have,” J.P. Morgan analysts wrote in a note.

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“The bulls are seeing this ETF as a new investment vehicle that would open the avenue for fresh capital to enter bitcoin markets. The bears are seeing the new ETF as only incremental addition to an already crowded space of bitcoin investment vehicles.”

Some market players see inflation risks, rather than new investment products, as driving bitcoin’s recent rally.

Still, others predicted that bitcoin’s latest peak would lead to further gains this year.

“We think it’s going to go higher and we can get to $80 or $90,000 by the end of this year easy, but that won’t be without volatility,” said Matt Dibb, COO of Singapore-based Stack Funds.

In the past few days, he said, traders were starting to pay high rates to borrow to buy bitcoin futures, “and that’s a sign that we could be a bit overextended, and there could be a pullback to come.”

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Ether, the world’s second largest cryptocurrency, rose 1% to $4,203 – close to its all-time high of $4,380, hit in May.

(Reporting by John McCrank in New York and Tom Wilson in London; additional reporting by Alun John in Hong Kong; Editing by Edwina Gibbs, William Maclean and Alison Williams)

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Wood’s ARK fund fails to join broad market rally as lockdown stocks slip

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November 30, 2021

By David Randall

NEW YORK (Reuters) – The broad market relief rally on Monday left many so-called stay-at-home stocks behind, dealing another blow to Cathie Wood’s ARK Innovation fund.

The $18.6 billion ARK Innovation fund, which outperformed all other U.S.-based equity funds last year due to its outsized holdings of stocks that rallied during the economic lockdowns, dropped 0.5% in morning trading Monday, well behind the 1% gain in the S&P 500.

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The benchmark index dropped nearly 2.3% Friday on news a new coronavirus variant, now known as Omicron, had been identified in southern Africa, spurring new travel restrictions worldwide. Yet global equity markets made up some of that lost ground Monday on reports the new variant may produce mild symptoms.

Signs Omicron will not deal a severe blow to the economy are prompting investors to remain in cyclical stocks, said Phil Orlando, chief equity market strategist at Federated Hermes.

“This is not February of 2020 when the world is about to shut down. If anything we think the economy will continue to improve from here,” he said.

ARK Innovation’s declines were widespread Monday, with 8 out of the fund’s 10 largest holdings down for the day. Telemedicine company Teladoc Health Inc, the fund’s second-largest holding, fell 5.1%, while streaming company Roku Inc shed 2.6% and Zoom Video Communications Inc lost 3.2%.

For the year, ARK Innovation is down 14%, while the benchmark S&P 500 is up 23.4%. That underperformance places ARK Innovation among the worst-performing mid-cap growth funds for the year to date, according to Morningstar. It remains among the top-performing funds over the last 5 years.

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Ark did not respond to a request to comment for this story.

(Reporting by David Randall; Editing by Mark Porter)

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Oil prices rise on bets OPEC+ will hold off output hike

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November 30, 2021

By Sonali Paul

MELBOURNE (Reuters) – Oil prices climbed on Tuesday, extending a rebound from last week’s plunge on growing expectations major producers would pause plans to add crude supply in January amid uncertainty over the severity of the Omicron coronavirus variant.

U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures jumped 99 cents, or 1.4%, to $70.94 a barrel at 0105 GMT, adding to a 2.6% rise on Monday.

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Brent crude futures climbed 82 cents, or 1.1%, to $74.26 a barrel, after gaining 1% on Monday.

Oil plunged around 12% on Friday along with other markets on fears the heavily mutated Omicron would spark fresh lockdowns and dent global growth.

The World Health Organization said on Monday Omicron posed a very high risk of infection surges, and several countries stepped up travel curbs. It is still unclear how severe the new variant is and whether it can resist existing vaccines.

With the demand outlook under a cloud, expectations are growing that the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting countries, Russia and their allies, together called OPEC+, due to meet on Dec. 2 will put on hold plans to add 400,000 barrels per day (bpd) of supply in January.

“We think the group will lean towards pausing output hikes in light of the Omicron variant and the oil stockpile release by major oil consumers,” Commonwealth Bank commodities analyst Vivek Dhar said in a note.

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Pressure was already growing within OPEC+ to reconsider its supply plan after last week’s release of emergency crude reserves by the United States and other major oil-consuming nations to address soaring prices.

“Following the global strategic reserve releases and the announcement of dozens of countries restricting travel to and from South Africa and neighbouring nations, OPEC and its allies can easily justify an output halt or even a slight cut in production,” OANDA analyst Edward Moya said in a note.

Also weighing on the market is the prospect of a resumption of oil exports from Iran, following upbeat comments from diplomats as talks resumed on Monday between world powers and Iran on reviving a nuclear pact.

(Reporting by Sonali Paul. Editing by Gerry Doyle)

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Main IKEA retailer’s profits jump despite ‘unprecedented challenges’

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November 30, 2021

By Anna Ringstrom

STOCKHOLM (Reuters) – Ingka Group, the owner of most IKEA stores world-wide, reported on Tuesday a jump in annual profit on the back of record demand for home furnishing as people stay at home more due to the pandemic.

Despite more temporary store closures due to pandemic related restrictions than the year before, and product shortages due to the global supply chain crisis, operating profit in the 12 months through August was up 31% at 1.9 billion euros. Sales were up 6%, to above pre-pandemic levels, with online sales jumping to account for 30% of total sales, against 18% the year before.

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Compared to the pre-pandemic fiscal 2019, profit was still down, by 8%, due to high investment levels. Capital expenditure was up 52% on the year, at 3.2 billion euros, as Ingka accelerated investments in digitalisation, new inner-city store formats, existing stores, and distribution and delivery networks.

Chief Financial Officer Juvencio Maeztu told Reuters he expected sales to grow also in the current fiscal year, and profits to be at least as high as in the past year. Investment levels would probably remain at least as high as in the past year, he said.

“Our journey to create a better IKEA forges ahead in a world that faces unprecedented challenges. COVID-19 will continue to impact our business and the communities we are a part of,” the company said in a statement.

“The global supply and transport crisis will require a resilient, flexible response. Efforts across the value chain will continue to mitigate the challenges with product availability, inflation, prices of raw materials and transport that are expected to continue into FY22.”

Budget furniture brand IKEA operates through a franchise system, with Ingka the main franchisee to brand owner Inter IKEA with 392 stores including city stores, and 73 smaller store formats.

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Inter IKEA, which is in charge of design and supply, in the past year absorbed substantially higher costs for raw materials and transports, but has flagged it will raise prices to its retailers this year in the face of continued high supply related costs.

Ingka’s Maeztu said in the interview that he could not rule out that Ingka would also raise prices this year.

(Reporting by Anna Ringstrom; editing by Richard Pullin)

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